Saturday, 14 September 2013

First Storm Of Autumn & Hurricane Strength Winds Set To Arrive On Cue – As Forecast 5 Months Ahead For Exact Dates + Locations

First Storm Of Autumn & Hurricane Strength Winds Set To Arrive On Cue – As Forecast 5 Months Ahead For Exact Dates + Locations

The 5 month ahead autumn forecast stated the following information to subscribers:

September 2013: Warm first half/settled at times + flash floods/large hail &
very windy/stormy mid-month

A number of large scale low pressure systems and hurricane remnants are also possible during the early part of September and around the MID-MONTH point too. Dependant upon their exact development at the time, many parts of the country can expect some extremely stormy conditions that will be accompanied by some very strong winds, which may range between 80-100 MPH in some areas (Originally published on 10th April 2013)

The month ahead forecast also stated for the 10th - 21st September:

However, it is then likely to turn rather unsettled and become quite windy at times as we progress from the MIDDLE part of this forecasting period and into the next forecasting period, but especially more so in the northern half of the country. Some of these winds are also likely to turn potentially damaging on a widespread scale at times across the country too.

SEPTEMBER WEATHER REPORT 2 - CLICK HERE

MET OFFICE WARNING NOW ISSUED AT 11:31AM (Sat 14th Sept 2013)

The Met Office now concur with the above weather scenarios and currently have a weather warning issued for gusts of 50 – 60 MPH, with the potential for 70 MPH in exposed coastal and mountainous areas in the northern half of the country.

Additional Information:

However, it would be advisable to pay attention to any further weather warnings that are likely to be updated from the Met Office over the next few days. The standard computer models may underestimate the potential strength and scale of these winds until the last minute. A small difference in wind speed and scale of what the Met Office are currently forecasting and in comparison to our 5 month ahead forecast, can prove to be the difference between a 'storm' and a 'violent/hurricane force storm'. This can also make a big difference in terms of major structural damage, large waves at sea + increased flood-risk, and potentially life-threatening conditions.

Update Added: Saturday 14th September 2013 (14:35) – James Madden

The UK & Ireland Autumn/Winter & October/November Month Ahead Forecasts Are Also Available In The Links Below:




You can also sign up to our brand new subscribers login service below @


Monday, 27 May 2013

Unsettled Then Warmer (as forecast over 200 days in advance) + Important Climate Change/CET Update

Unsettled Then Warmer (as forecast over 200 days in advance) + Important Climate Change/CET Update

Tuesday will bring a day of showers for many, and a number of these are likely to turn thundery and heavy in places. However, there will be some sunny periods in places in between the showers, and parts of the north will fare somewhat better in comparison to the south. It will also be particularly windy in parts of the far north as we progress throughout Tuesday too. Some of the heavy and thundery showers are also likely to continue into the early part of Wednesday across some southern parts of the country, with the potential for some heavy hail showers to develop in places for this part of the forecasting period too. The remainder of Wednesday is then likely to remain unsettled with some further showers and periods of sunshine. Some of these showers may also turn heavy again in parts of the north, whilst parts of the south/east may fare somewhat better in terms of some developing sunny periods. Thursday looks set to bring another day of sunny spells and widespread showers, although the showers are likely to be somewhat lighter in nature than in previous days. Most of the showers are then likely to dissipate as we progress throughout the day to leave a clear evening with some periods of developing sunshine for many. It will also feel warmer than of late in the best of the sunshine too. As we progress throughout the latter part of the working week and into next weekend, there is the potential for some much warmer and drier weather to develop, but especially more so across the southern half of the country. However, there will still be the risk of some more unsettled weather at times across parts of the north and to the west for this part of the forecasting period, and a number of these showers could turn potentially thundery in places. It will also feel rather chilly for the time of the year under clearer skies in the evenings too.

Our original spring forecast issued over 200 days ahead to subscribers stated:

As we progress throughout the remainder of May and into the start of June, it is likely to become potentially very warm. Depending on how warm this period becomes, temperatures are more likely to come in at near or below the seasonal average for the May period as a whole.
 
  With the start to the new working week set to feature at below the seasonal average in terms of temperature for many, and the timing of the infiltration of warmer weather to the UK, this is now likely to result in the 5th consecutive below-average month in terms of the mean Central England for 2013.

January -0.3C

February -0.6C

March -3.0C

(March was equal coldest since 1883 in terms of the mean CET - as forecast in early November to subscribers)

April -0.4C


May -0.6C (provisional, to the 26th)

This is especially significant as the oldest recorded temperature dataset in the world, it is also one of the most fundamental indicators of climate change too. Our detailed, and appropriately named blog (ice age circulation patterns) that dates back over the last 5-6 years and Exacta Weather/YouTube channel, have consistently stated that the science behind global warming was totally unfounded.


Our detailed 2013 summer forecast is also available in the link below:
Our detailed 2013/14 autumn/winter forecast is also available in the link below:

*NEW* UK/IRE more detailed month ahead forecast is now available in the link below:

Thursday, 28 March 2013

Remaining cold and wintry into April + spring warmth at last? – as forecast 150 days ahead



Remaining cold and wintry into April + some spring warmth at last?

The start to spring and March has experienced some of the heaviest snowfalls across the UK for over three decades, and one of the coldest March periods on record (possibly the coldest in over 100 years, dependent upon final minimum temperature adjustments). The original spring forecast issued 150 days ahead also stated: Our forecasting parameters indicate that March could turn out to be a potentially record-breaking month in regard to the major COLD and SNOW episodes that are likely to develop.

As we head into the start of April, the picture is set to remain cold and wintry at times too. Some further falls of snow and wintry showers are also likely at times, but especially more so in the northern half of the country. The colder weather will also lead to the development of some sharp and widespread frosts for the time of the year. It is also likely to turn very windy at times throughout this part of the forecasting period, but especially more so in parts to the west and the northern half of the country. However, as we head into the second half of the month, there are indications of some much warmer temperatures and long periods of sunshine for many parts of the country, but especially more so across the southern half of the country to begin with. However, it is still likely to feel rather chilly in the evenings throughout this part of the forecasting period too. The higher pressure if and when it does develop, is also likely to lose control quite quickly, as it once again becomes colder for the latter part of this forecasting period. The alternative scenario with as much weighting, may see a continuation of the colder than average conditions throughout the whole month.

The following information was also provided to ITN news on Monday 24th March 2013 from myself:

"Apart from a few brief warm spells in April and May, it is likely to remain rather cold and wintry throughout the remainder of spring too. This is largely down to the period of low solar activity that we currently reside in, and how it intrinsically alters major factors such as the Jet Stream"

Our almost blank sun, courtesy of NASA (27th March 2013)


Where is this period of high solar activity/sunspots at according to all the experts?
Also see: http://www.exactaweather.com/uploads/PW2012-13.pdf

The April section of the 2013 spring weather forecast that was issued to subscribers 150 days ahead also stated:

The April period is also likely to see a continuation of these wintry conditions to begin with, especially across the northern half of the country. It will also be particularly windy or very windy at times once again too. However, the April period is also likely to see a potential shift in this pattern as we progress throughout the month, leading to a much more settled and warmer spell of weather for many parts of the country. It is quite plausible that temperatures could range between 1C to 4C above the seasonal average across the country for the development of this given period, but especially more so in the southern half of the country. However, the colder than average theme is likely to return at some point towards the end of this period and as we head into the final month of the meteorological spring.

Our detailed 2013 summer forecast is also available in the link below:


Update added: Thursday 28th March 2013 14:15

Sunday, 24 March 2013

Remaining cold and wintry for Easter week - Record-breaking March now very likely

Remaining cold and wintry for Easter week - Record-breaking March now very likely
As we head into the Easter week, the theme is set to remain cold with well below-average temperatures for the time of the year for most of the country. Monday through to Wednesday will also see the development of some further wintry/snow showers, but especially more so in parts to the north and east of the country. The evenings will also become especially cold under clearer conditions, and with this comes the risk of some severe frosts, but especially more so in parts of the north and Scotland. However, there will also be some reasonable sunny periods and drier conditions for this part of the forecasting period, especially in some parts to the west of the country. By Thursday and Friday it is likely to become a touch milder than of late in some parts of the south, but there will once again be a continuation of wintry/snow showers in some parts of the north and east. Some of these showers could prove to be heavy at times in these parts, with the possibility of some decent accumulations in places at times too, but especially more so across higher ground. An area of low pressure is also likely to push in across some parts of the far south and west for the later part of this forecasting period. There is a relatively high-risk that this could bring some further snow as it progresses northwards, but especially more so in some parts of Wales, northern England, Northern Ireland, and Scotland. It will also become rather windy in some parts of the north and west for this part of the forecasting period and into Saturday too. As we head into the Easter weekend, weather fronts will bring the risk of some further wintry/snow showers, with the possibility of them becoming slightly more widespread for this part of the forecasting period. There is also the possibility of some slightly milder temperatures in the southern half of the country, but it is likely to remain rather cold in the northern half of the country. However, the alternative scenario with as much weighting, may see it staying cold for most parts throughout this part of the forecasting period too. This is now likely to result in one of the coldest March periods on record, and as predicted in our spring forecast that was issued to subscribers nearly 150 days ago.
Update added: Sunday 24th March 2013 19:01
Detailed Spring 2013 Forecast – Now Only £4 or FREE with the Summer 2013 Forecast in the link below:

Sunday, 17 March 2013

Cold and windy, with a significant risk of snow for many parts throughout next week + successful snow risk dates? & March Forecast (30 & 140 days ahead)

Cold and windy, with a significant risk of snow for many parts throughout next week + successful snow risk dates? & March Forecast (30 & 140 days ahead)
Forecasting period - 18th to 24th March
As we start the new working week it will once again turn rather cold for the time of the year, in particular, across parts of Scotland and northern England. The colder weather will also be accompanied by some windy conditions and wintry showers of hail, sleet, and snow in these parts throughout Monday too. There is also likely to be some wintry showers across higher ground in some parts of the south as we progress throughout Monday too. Tuesday and into Wednesday will then see it turn very cold for most parts, especially across parts of the north/Scotland. This will also be accompanied by some further widespread and wintry showers for many parts throughout Tuesday too, and a number of these are likely to turn quite heavy in places. This brings with it the risk of some snow accumulations in places, but especially more so across higher ground. Thursday and into Friday will bring a similar picture, but especially more so across parts of the west, Wales, northern England, Northern Ireland, and Scotland. This is also likely to lead to some further accumulations of snow, but especially more so in parts of northern England and Wales, where some notable accumulations are possible. The wintry weather will also be accompanied by some strengthening winds for this part of the forecasting period, leading to the development of some drifting snow/blizzard conditions in places. These conditions are also likely to prevail into next weekend, but especially more so in some northern and eastern parts of the country. However, there is the potential for some periods of sunny and drier weather in parts, with the possibility of some milder conditions in parts of the south.
Our snow risk forecast that was made available on the 17th February also stated (30 days ahead):
This is likely to lead to the development of some quite severe frosts and further snow events for a large portion of the remainder of the month, but especially more so throughout the period of the 16th - 24th March. There will also be some very strong winds at times, heightening the risk of some developing blizzards under the right conditions.
Our original spring forecast that was made available to subscribers in early November (nearly 140 days ahead) stated:
The start to spring 2013 and the March period is likely to see a continuation of winter conditions for the UK and Ireland. It is likely to be an unusually cold and exceptionally snowy month for many parts of the country. Our forecasting parameters indicate that March could turn out to be a potentially record-breaking month in regard to the major cold and snow episodes that are likely to develop. There is the potential for some exceptionally heavy falls of snow to develop across many parts of the country. The northern half of the country is also likely to experience the worst of the cold and snowy conditions. However, it is also likely that the southern half of the country will experience a number of major snow events at times throughout the March period too. It is highly likely that there will be a number of school closures and disruption to the public transport network across the country too (purchasers of this forecast will therefore receive a free snow risk dates and temperature forecast in the early part of 2013 for this given period).

The March period will also be particularly windy at times too, this will lead to the development of some especially high powered winds. This is also likely to result in some very dangerous blizzard conditions at times under the right conditions, especially in the southern half of the country. It is also likely to be a relatively dry start to spring in terms of rainfall amounts across the country, but not in terms of precipitation as snowfall.
The detailed Spring 2013 (March, April, May) and Summer 2013 (June. July, August) is now also available to subscribers in the link below
The following Daily Express article from the 20th February 2013 also stated:
http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/378966/Britain-set-for-10-day-freeze-as-temperatures-plunge
James Madden, forecaster for Exacta Weather said: “March could turn out to be one of the snowiest that we have experienced for quite some time.
“There may also be the potential risk of it becoming one of the snowiest March periods on record, and it will be exceptionally cold at times too.”
Update Added: Sunday 17th March 2013 (21:49)

Sunday, 10 March 2013

Winter returns in spring as promised over 130 days ahead

Winter returns in spring as promised over 130 days ahead

It will turn unusually cold for the time of the year throughout Monday and into Tuesday across most parts of the country. Weather fronts will also bring outbreaks of snow to parts of the south and east, in particular, in parts of south-west England. This is also likely to lead to some notable snow accumulations in these parts at times too. The snow will also be accompanied by some rather strong winds leading to the development of some blizzard conditions for this part of the forecasting period, especially across higher ground in some parts of the south and east. Elsewhere will also be at risk from seeing some wintry showers throughout Monday and Tuesday too, but especially more so in some northern parts on Tuesday. This part of the forecasting period will also see the development of some widespread and severe frosts across the country and into Wednesday under clearer conditions in the evenings. Wednesday will also bring some further wintry showers across the northern half of the country. Thursday and into Friday are then likely to turn a little milder, especially in some parts of the south. However, there will still be the risk of some further snow across parts of the north, east, and south at times, but especially more so on Thursday. Some of this snow may also spread to other parts of the country too. As we progress throughout next weekend and into next week, the risk of some further snow and colder weather is likely to make a return, but especially more so across the northern half of the country at present.

Our original spring forecast that was made available to subscribers in early November (over 130 days ahead) stated:

The start to spring 2013 and the March period is likely to see a continuation of winter conditions for the UK and Ireland. It is likely to be an unusually cold and exceptionally snowy month for many parts of the country. Our forecasting parameters indicate that March could turn out to be a potentially record-breaking month in regard to the major cold and snow episodes that are likely to develop. There is the potential for some exceptionally heavy falls of snow to develop across many parts of the country. The northern half of the country is also likely to experience the worst of the cold and snowy conditions. However, it is also likely that the southern half of the country will experience a number of major snow events at times throughout the March period too. It is highly likely that there will be a number of school closures and disruption to the public transport network across the country too (purchasers of this forecast will therefore receive a free snow risk dates and temperature forecast in the early part of 2013 for this given period).
 
The March period will also be particularly windy at times too, this will lead to the development of some especially high powered winds. This is also likely to result in some very dangerous blizzard conditions at times under the right conditions, especially in the southern half of the country. It is also likely to be a relatively dry start to spring in terms of rainfall amounts across the country, but not in terms of precipitation as snowfall.

Our snow risk forecast that was made available on the 17th February also stated (nearly 30 days ahead):

This is likely to lead to the development of some quite severe frosts and further snow events for a large portion of the remainder of the month, but especially more so throughout the period of the 16th - 24th March. There will also be some very strong winds at times, heightening the risk of some developing blizzards under the right conditions.

The following Daily Express article from the 20th February 2013 also stated:

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/378966/Britain-set-for-10-day-freeze-as-temperatures-plunge

James Madden, forecaster for Exacta Weather said: “March could turn out to be one of the snowiest that we have experienced for quite some time.

“There may also be the potential risk of it becoming one of the snowiest March periods on record, and it will be exceptionally cold at times too.”

Update Added: Sunday 11th March 2013 (17:36)

Sunday, 17 February 2013

Cold end to winter + winter set to continue into spring + snow risk dates


Cold end to winter + winter set to continue into spring + snow risk dates

The end of the meteorological winter (end of February) and into the start of spring (start of March) is likely to see a continuation of winter conditions in terms of cold and snow episodes for the UK. It will also be particularly dry for this part of the forecasting period, but not in terms of precipitation as snowfall. There is also a risk that some major snow events will develop throughout this part of the forecasting period, but especially more so throughout the period of the 1st - 7th March.

This may then be preceded by a brief period of milder temperatures and wetter weather, especially across the southern half of the country. However, it is then likely to turn exceptionally cold for the time of the year once again. This is likely to lead to the development of some quite severe frosts and further snow events for a large portion of the remainder of the month, but especially more so throughout the period of the 16th - 24th March. There will also be some very strong winds at times, heightening the risk of some developing blizzards under the right conditions. It is therefore, plausible that March could turn out to be one of the snowiest that we have experienced for quite some time. There may also be the potential risk of it becoming one of the snowiest March periods on record, and it will be exceptionally cold at times too. However, one or two periods of brief moderation and milder temperatures still can't be ruled out throughout the start and later part of this forecasting period.

Added: 17th February 2013 (18:23)

Please also allow for some deviations in exact timing and scale of given scenarios.

The above forecast for the March period is also very similar as the one issued to subscribers for this forecasting period in early November 2012 (4 months ahead).

Our winter forecast issued on the 23rd June 2012 (8 months ahead) also stated: “The cold and wintry conditions are also likely to last into spring”

Detailed Spring 2013 Forecast – Now Only £4 or FREE with the Summer 2013 Forecast in the link below:

Will winter continue into the remainder of spring too?

The snow forecast page will also remain in place and be regularly updated throughout the spring period in the following link below:


Please also feel free to check out the short range weather forecasts for your area, which are continuously updated at regular intervals throughout each day based on weather model suggestions in the link below:


Sunday, 27 January 2013

A return to winter by the end of the week and into early February?



A return to winter by the end of the week and into early February?

As we begin the new working week, there will be some further falls of heavy snow across higher ground in parts of Scotland. There will also be gale force winds across parts of the north, in particular, in parts of Western Scotland. With this comes the risk of some developing blizzard conditions across higher ground in these parts throughout Monday too.

However, the brief run of milder and more unsettled weather is also likely to bring the risk of some localised flooding from melting snow in some upland and mountainous areas of northern and southern England, in particular, on Tuesday. However, there will also be some further snow at times across higher ground in parts of Scotland throughout Tuesday too.

Wednesday and into Thursday will bring a relatively cool theme (not mild) across parts of the north, in particular, above higher ground in parts of Scotland. Low pressure is also likely to work southwards on Wednesday, bringing weather fronts across these parts. These fronts are also likely to bring some further snow and blizzard conditions at times above higher ground in parts of the north too. However, it is likely to become quite mild in parts of the south, especially in the far south for this part of the forecasting period (Tuesday to Thursday).

As we head into the latter part of the working week and into next weekend, the regime is likely to revert back to a winter feel for many once again. Further frost and fog will begin to develop for many during the evenings (especially in parts of the north), daytime temperatures will also become quite cool for many parts once again too. Friday will see further falls of snow and bring some potential blizzard conditions in parts of Scotland (especially across higher ground). With this comes the risk of some further wintry precipitation and further snow across other parts of the north and possibly to other parts of the country throughout next weekend too, although the exact development in detail is somewhat low in confidence on this scenario at this stage.
A further update will follow on this shortly...

Please also see end of January/February forecast that was added on the 21st January 2013 in the text below:

End of January/February forecast

There is a possibility of a less cold end to January and the early part of February on the assumption of some model suggestions, and this is what other forecasters will be picking up on at present. However, I still expect a return to colder conditions with major snow events throughout February, even if these changes do occur. The sudden and attempted invasions from the Atlantic may bring some less cold conditions at times, but with further periods of sleet and snow too.
However, the influence of the Atlantic is not likely to be strong enough to shift the current cold and wintry conditions that are in place across the UK throughout this forecasting period. Some of these snow events are also likely to be similar in nature to what we have experienced throughout January already, or possibly worse in scale during this forecasting period. It is therefore, likely that we will see a dominating continuation of the cold and wintry conditions up until at least mid-month/the final third of February at the very least. The remainder of the month may then see a potential shift in this pattern (especially across southern parts of the UK). However, parts of the north and Scotland may be prone to a continuation of wintry weather and cooler conditions throughout the vast majority of the whole month. It must, however, be noted that forecasting confidence has always been very low for this part of the forecasting period, and the alternative scenario with as much weighting could see a similar pattern to January 2010 developing across many parts of the country.





January 2010 - Courtesy of NASA


The original winter forecasts for this forecasting period stated:

February 2013 - February may see a potential shift in this pattern after a very cold and exceptionally snowy start to the month. However, confidence is very low for this forecasting period and the alternative scenario with as much weighting could see a similar pattern to January 2010 developing across many parts of the country (Issued 23rd June 2012)

http://www.exactaweather.com/uploads/PW2012-13.pdf


February Snowfall - The major snow events are most likely to occur throughout the period from the 1st to the 10th February (especially in some northern and southern parts of the country). However, parts of the north and Scotland may be prone to a continuation of wintry/snow showers throughout the vast majority of the whole month. (Issued 9th November 2012)

Also includes successful major snow dates for January


http://www.exactaweather.com/uploads/FinalSRT1213.pdf


Please also allow for some deviations in exact timing and scale of given scenarios.
Update added: Monday 21st January 2013 16:11

James Madden (UK Long-Range Forecaster)



Added: Sunday 27th January 2013 – 20:29

Sunday, 13 January 2013

Remaining very cold with snow for large parts of the country + persistent freezing fog


Remaining very cold with snow for large parts of the country + persistent freezing fog

As we head into the new working week, the picture is set to remain very cold with periods of snow for large parts of the country. There will also be consistent widespread frosts as temperatures fall widely below freezing for many during the evenings. Some of these frosts will also be severe at times by midweek, with the possibility of temperatures exceeding double negative figures in places. Persistent freezing fog will also be another issue to watch out for, but especially more so in northern and central parts of the country by midweek.

Monday will see sleet and snow affecting many parts of the country. There will also be some rain in amongst this wintry weather in places, but this is less likely in areas to the north and east of the country. Parts of eastern Scotland/England are most at risk for the heaviest of the snow and in particular, parts of north-east England. There could be several centimetres of snow to lower levels in some eastern parts of the country, which will give some lasting accumulations as the snow settles under the colder conditions at present.

Tuesday will bring additional sleet and snow across parts of the east and south-east England. Some of this snow is also likely to give some further moderate to heavy falls of snow in these parts, but especially more so across higher ground. This will once again give some lasting accumulations in these parts. Some further wintry showers are also likely across parts to the north and west at times, with the possibility of some accumulations in these parts too, but especially more so across higher ground.

Wednesday and into Thursday will see some further wintry showers in some northern and eastern parts of the country at times. This will also give some further accumulations of snow in places, but especially more so across higher ground. It will also become generally drier for most at this point, although some areas will be hampered by persistent freezing fog that will struggle to lift throughout the daytime too.

The latter part of the working week and into next weekend will see the risk of some significant snowfall to large parts of the country. The areas most at risk from this span widely from Scotland, northern England, Northern Ireland, Wales, and later to parts of central, and southern England too. Some localised and notable accumulations are possible, and there is also likely to be a continuation of wintry showers in some eastern parts of the country at times too. It will also become very windy at times within this forecasting period (especially in parts to the north, west, and some central areas too), which may produce some potentially dangerous blizzard conditions at times in these parts.

Next update will follow shortly...

Our detailed snow risk and final winter forecast (60 days ahead) stated:


The major snow events are likely throughout the period of the 10th to the 20th January (especially in northern, eastern, and southern parts) @

http://www.exactaweather.com/UK_Premium_Forecast.html

Additional SNOW & COLD Weather updates also available @
http://www.exactaweather.com/UK_Long_Range_Forecast.html

Friday, 11 January 2013

Snow & Cold Update

Remainder of January & February 2013 PDF report now only £3 (50% off) + UK/IRE Spring 2013 Forecast (March, April, and May) here 


**NEW** Snow forecast page for winter 2012/13 here

Snow & Cold Update



Although we have seen a very mild start to January, there is a high-risk scenario that the developing cold spell could become much longer in duration than the models have been anticipating. If this becomes the case as expected in my original long-range winter forecast, we could be looking at a scenario similar to the December 2010 cold spell at the very least (which was the coldest December in 100 years). This also fits in with the wording of my original forecast (issued on the 23rd June 2012), which stated “with the possibility of some of the coldest and snowiest conditions in at least a century AT TIMES, more probable in the January period of the upcoming winter”. These conditions are also likely to persist into the first third of February at the very least if this proves to be the case.

http://www.exactaweather.com/uploads/PW2012-13.pdf (Original Winter Forecast 12/13 - Issued 23rd June 2012)


We also forecast the coldest December in 100 years before any suggestions from elsewhere (August/September 2010) and featured on BBC One TV for our prediction.
Another interesting article below on our coldest December in 100 years prediction


But even earlier than Weather Action, James Madden of Exacta Weather, AKA ukweathergeek, using similar models as Weather Action, posted a youtube video on 18th September – over a month earlier than the Met office confirming ‘no clear signals’ about the weather for the UK winter – explaining in detail why he expected the 2010/2011 winter to be more severe than 2009/2010”

There will also be plenty of widespread and major snow events within this period, but it will also become relatively dry for this forecasting period too (next few weeks and into early February). However, the snowfall (some very heavy in places) is likely to result in lying snow on the ground and lasting accumulations for quite some time under these conditions.

Next week is likely to remain very cold across the country with the development of some severe and widespread frosts throughout the whole week. In terms of snowfall, it is quite probable that next week will bring snowfall to large parts of the country, with some decent accumulations in places, but especially more so in northern and eastern parts to begin with. There is also likely to be some further notable falls of snow and accumulations in parts of central and southern England at times throughout next week too. It will also become exceptionally foggy at times (especially in parts of the Midlands and the south). The freezing fog is also likely to become quite dense and potentially dangerous in these parts, as it struggles to lift and becomes rather persistent throughout the day too.

Our detailed snow risk and final winter forecast (60 days ahead) stated:

The major snow events are likely throughout the period of the 10th to the 20th January (especially in northern, eastern, and southern parts) @
http://www.exactaweather.com/UK_Premium_Forecast.html
Next update will follow shortly...
Please also see our snow risk forecast page below:
Update added: 11th January 2013 (11:51am)

Sunday, 6 January 2013

Changes on the way with snow and cold, as we return to winter


Changes on the way with snow and cold, as we return to winter

As we approach the middle part of the new working week, the picture is set to turn much cooler than of late across the country. This will lead to the development of some widespread frosts and icy patches in places from Wednesday onwards. The cooler temperatures will also be accompanied by some rather foggy conditions at times during the evenings too, but especially more so across some northern and central areas of the country. The fog may also struggle to lift and become quite persistent at times in these parts throughout the day and into next weekend too.

As we approach the end of the working week and head into next weekend, the risk of wintry precipitation and snow showers will increase significantly. Friday will see the development of these first wintry showers across some northern and eastern parts of the country, but especially more so across higher ground to begin with. The weekend will then see a continuation of the cold conditions and widespread frosts, which will once again be accompanied by some rather foggy conditions (some freezing fog in places). This will also bring a continued risk of snow, but especially more so across parts of the north, east, and south-east of the country. Some of these snow showers may also push into other parts of the country throughout next weekend too (especially throughout Saturday evening and into Sunday).

Please also feel free to check out the short range forecast for your area, which is continuously updated at regular intervals throughout each day on the basis of weather model suggestions

http://www.exactaweather.com/UK_Short_Range_Forecast.html

The Spring 2013 (March, April, May) is also now available to subscribers in the link below
http://www.exactaweather.com/UK_Premium_Forecast.html