Will Hotter, Drier Summers & Milder Winters Become The Norm In Future?
There has recently been reports from scientific experts in reference to the hottest summer ever occurring during 2014 on the basis of El Nino weather patterns. Unfortunately, these predictions do not consider how solar activity can influence our weather patterns and other major factors such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) in relation to the frequency and strength of El Nino and La Nina episodes. The PDO identifies warm or cool surface waters in the Pacific Ocean (largest ocean in the world) on a monthly basis, with each cool or warm phase generally lasting for around 20-30 years in duration. We are currently in a cold phase of the PDO, of which La Nina episodes (cooling) will be more prevalent in the coming years and decades. However, El Nino (warming) episodes will still occur, but they will be less infrequent and much shorter in duration.
The Met Office Hadley Centre are now suggesting that we will see an increase in milder winters and that hotter, drier summers will become the norm in the long term in a recent Guardian article dated the 25th March 2014 below:
Hang on a minute!!!
It was only 9 months ago in an emergency meeting that the Met Office Hadley Centre suggested that we should stand by for more wet and cold summers. They also suggested that these changes impacted colder winter temperatures too.
Please see the Independent article dated 18th June 2013 on this below:
So what is really going on?
The answer is quite simple and was immediately transparent to myself upon the release of this so called scientific information and the related articles that have followed on from this.
We are currently only several years in to the current cold phase of the PDO (which generally last 20-30 years) and very recent reports from respected scientists also indicate that the sun's activity is now at its lowest in 100-200 years, which has repercussions on future solar activity levels.
In the early 1900's when solar activity was low, major PDO events did not occur. However, historical data shows us that major PDO events do occur at the start of sunspot cycles of a particular length.
During such periods of low solar activity and cold phases of the Pacific, there will be some natural variation from year to year and some years may show the complete opposite pattern developing. However, the overall theme will still result in a long term and dominant trend of cooler wetter summers and colder snowier winters due to the scientific data that I have analysed repeatedly.
It is all quite simple! The alarmists that told us about global warming are now ready to reiterate that they were right all along about it, despite the science not adding up behind their original predictions and the incorrect long-range weather forecasts that have followed on from this.
Surely if this is something that the Met Office Hadley Centre have been working on for a while, then they would not have incorrectly forecast a cool and wet summer for last year (2013), when we experienced the complete opposite. They would also not have forecast a colder and drier than average winter for 2013/14.