Tuesday, 20 November 2012

Paul Hudson BBC Blog Post


Firstly, Exacta Weather is very pleased that this BBC blog and Paul emphasised on the HEADLINE of the newspaper from Saturday about the "coldest winter in 100 years".

http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudson/2012/11/whats-behind-the-coldest-winte.shtml

This was also corrected on our Facebook page, dated blog, and our loyal followers were also alerted with tweets on twitter. We also absolutely agree that headlines sell newspapers, but unfortunately we do not write or have any influence on the headlines that sell them. We personally can't see many people rushing out to buy a copy of something that was less appealing in nature.

Our forecast actually states and always has since earlier this year (23rd June 2012 - First Issued) that: There is the potential for some of the coldest and snowiest conditions in at least a century AT TIMES during the upcoming winter (most likely to occur in the December to January period).

Somewhat different to the COLDEST WINTER IN 100 YEARS!

Our recently released private forecast from the 9th November 2012 also states:

There is also the potential for some of the coldest and snowiest conditions in at least a century AT TIMES to be recorded in the December to January period of the upcoming winter. The January period is also slightly more favourable to experience the worst of the winter conditions in terms of snowfall and temperatures.

We also expect February to be much milder after a potentially cold and snowy start to the month, which is also an official month of the meteorological winter.

As for Mr Hudson’s comments about "little known Exacta Weather" and "a tiny private weather company", people are free to judge this for themselves in the following links below:

http://www.journallive.co.uk/north-east-news/todays-news/2010/12/08/voluntary-forecaster-proves-the-met-office-wrong-again-61634-27786536/

http://www.exactaweather.com/Accuracy.html

http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/exactaweather.com#

Last year’s forecast may have contained unusually low accuracy in comparison to our usual success rate, but this is something that we have quite openly admitted to on many occasions. However, we certainly was correct about the winds that the Met Office failed to miss and also send out a relevant warning for

http://www.scotsman.com/scotland-on-sunday/scotland/forecast-is-grim-for-the-met-office-but-are-they-at-fault-for-missing-big-gail-1-2043601

For the others who have decided to contact us about the glorious summer that never happened

http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/321080/Glorious-summer-is-on-way

Fortunately, this had nothing to do with us and we played no part in the production of this forecast or the headline, but it is funny how we get the blame and constantly reminded about this too (it works both ways Mr Hudson).

However, a more accurate piece from early summer dated the 15th June 2012 actually stated:

“James Madden, of Exacta Weather, said the rest of the summer would be “unsettled” as long as the jet stream – which is responsible for the washout – refuses to budge.” (Exactly what happened)

http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/326685/Summer-starts-in-September

James Madden - From little known Exacta Weather & a tiny private weather company that has consistently proven the Met Office wrong on many occasions with their incorrect long range forecasts of mild winters and BBQ summers!

Saturday, 17 November 2012

Potential for some of the coldest and snowiest conditions in at least a century AT TIMES...

There is also the potential for some of the coldest and snowiest conditions in at least a century AT TIMES to be recorded in the December to January period of the upcoming winter. The January period is also slightly more favorable to experience the worst of the winter conditions in terms of snowfall and temperatures.

Snippet from snow risk dates and temperature forecast available (Produced and made available on 9th November 2012) @http://www.exactaweather.com/UK_Premium_Forecast.html



Sunday, 4 November 2012

October & November Forecasts 2012

October
October is likely to feature near or below-average temperatures as a whole, although some interspersions of milder weather are also likely to develop at times especially in the southern half of the country. A number of frequent wet and very windy or exceptionally windy periods are also likely to develop for many parts of the country at times too. The cooler periods of weather will also see the development of some overnight frosts in places. These cooler periods will also be accompanied by the first falls of snow and some wintry showers in places, especially across higher ground in parts of the north as we progress throughout October.

Result = First falls of snow as predicted + a mean Central England Temperature (CET) of -1.0C 

November
November is likely to feature below-average temperatures as a whole. It is likely to become progressively colder as we progress throughout the month and into the start of winter, with the development of some quite severe frosts in places. These cooler periods of weather will be accompanied by further falls of snow across higher ground, and these are also likely to develop across some lower levels of the country at times too. It is also likely to be a relatively drier month overall in terms of rainfall amounts. However, some further periods of wet and windy weather are still probable to develop at times too.

Result = Pending...

The long range winter forecast for 2012/13 that was published on the 23rd June 2012 also stated:

1. A number of exceptional and unusually strong windy periods are also likely to develop at times throughout the upcoming autumn and winter period. Some of these winds could also prove to be very damaging and potentially record-breaking in places.

2. The cold and wintry conditions are also likely to arrive earlier this year i.e. in autumn.

Also stay tuned to the 4-day forecasts that are continuously updated on model suggestions at regular intervals throughout each day. Thank you for visiting Exacta Weather.

http://www.exactaweather.com/UK_Short_Range_Forecast.html

Added: 1st October 2012 16:22PM on ExactaWeather.com