Thursday, 26 August 2010

Gulf Stream Update

I would like to state that the gulf stream has improved slightly over recent days, however I use the word improved very cautiously.   There is still a clear breakage in the loop current and a lot of factors including sea temperature suggest that the UK and Northern Europe are in for a dire winter as previously outlined in my previous posts to date.  After a lengthy discussion this morning with another colleague, I feel it is also important to mention the Milankovitch Cycle and where we are today with it, which appears to correlate very well with ice ages/cooling.

Saturday, 14 August 2010

Gulf Stream situation has got worse!

Sorry guys, a lot of people have tried to debunk the whole gulf stream situation over the past few weeks, unfortunately the situation has actually worsened.  Scientists did not appear concerned as there was still apparently some strength in the gulf stream current.  This is denoted by the red colours in the previous data screens, however todays screen shot below shows a different story altogether.

Much more disturbing than the last data shots, as you can see the gulf stream has established a route within the gulf of mexico as I suggested in my last post, the red colours denote the sea surface velocity, ie the strength of the current seems to be in one position that no longer feeds towards the UK or Northern Europe.

Couple this with other current events such as the unusual behaviour of the sun and it's minimal sunspot activity, which I also reported in my last post as well as the situation with the current la nina (ocean cooling), you can actually find that all the cold cards for three major factors on our climate are in play for this coming Winter! like I stated the effects of the gulf stream will be bad enough if nothing changes!!! and it has worsened, my seasonal forecast for winter 2010/2011 would therefore have to change to SEVERE SEVERE COLD for the UK and Northern Europe which could resemble little ice age conditions or worse over the next few years.

We also need to consider the effects of the icelandic volcano on the UK, many volcanoes in the past have had serious effects on our climate for many years to follow, the debris enters the atmosphere and takes years and years to clear, blocking out any sunlight and resulting in drastic cooling.  So that's now four cold cards in play for this winter.  Surely not, yes brace yourselves there is another; a recent report from CNN news explains how scientists are baffled by the shrinking of the upper atmosphere.

Well all you baffeld scientists its very simple really, the sun is the major driver of our climate system, sunspot activity is at an all time unusually low period, this effects everything and in return cools our planet.  So that is now five major cold cards in play, this is no coincidence, it's all part of the earth's natural cycle sytems that relate and correlate with sunspot activity.

The effects are much more than just cooling on the UK and Northern Europe, even when the gulf stream just alters slightly it can change rainfall patterns all over the world, I suggest this is what we are seeing in Pakistan and Colombia at the minute, it really is annoying when I now see news reports picking up on major events in short succession and blaming it on the jet streams, the gulf stream operates on trade winds of course this will effect the jet streams, but they are not going to tell you on the news that the gulf stream has stopped/been interupted, they all know that most people have seen the film the day after tomorrow.

Start preparing for Winter 2010/11 now!  the effects on the floods in Pakistan and Colombia have been fairly rapid in response to my past posts on the whole situation, this will not pass us by!

Wednesday, 4 August 2010

Breaking News! The Gulf Stream has Stopped!

There is recent and very strong evidence that the gulf stream has actually stopped! which I have frequently suggested and reported on throughout my work and blogs over the years.  The main loop or the so called engine which generates the majority of the heat for the gulf stream has detached itself.  This is clear to see from the NOAA in the form of RTOFS (Altlantic) graphic nowcasts from over the past three months.

28th April 2010 - as you can see from the bottom left hand corner, the gulf stream appears to be working and sending warm water towards the UK in the top right hand corner.

7th May 2010 - in the bottom left hand corner you will now notice a loop in the main engine of the gulf stream within the gulf of mexico in comparison to the previous data screen.

7th July 2010 - The loop has now detached itself from the gulf stream and is shown as a figure of 8 in the bottom left hand corner of the data screen.

27th July 2010 - the following data is quite disturbing! as you can see the main engine has detached itself from the gulf stream, I have studied the gulf stream intensely over the past several years and never seen anything like this before.

I am still hoping that this is an Eddy (sections of moving water that can swirl off) but if I am to be honest, the high realism is that this is not, eddys do not swirl off in a clockwise direction in the size of an American State and completley detach themselves in this manner, I would even like to make a scientific suggestion here and state that the USA is likely to get warmer from this as the current may establish a new path in the gulf of mexico, where as the United Kingdom and Northern Europe will experience severe cooling. This is identified in the data screen dated 27th July 2010 above, it is clear to see that the gulf stream has stopped and is no longer sending warm water to the UK, compare the top right hand corners of each of the previous data screens to see this for yourself.

Now compare this with other current events such as the unusual behaviour of the sun and it's minimal sunspot activity, which I reported on last month as well as the situation with the current la nina (ocean cooling), you can actually find that all the cold cards for three major factors on our climate are in play for this coming Winter!  the effects of the gulf stream will be bad enough if nothing changes!!!  my seasonal forecast for winter 2010/2011 would therefore have to change to SEVERE COLD for the UK and Northern Europe, I would also get yourself down to the bookies and place a bet on the thames freezing over between Westminster and tower bridge at 150/1 for either this winter or next, to help you with your extra energy costs, I can't believe that this was 1000/1 in previous years, I wonder if they have been reading my work?

The question is, this is actually going to have severe effects on the UK this coming/future winters without even considering the backdrop from the la nina (ocean cooling) and low sunspot activity, how should we be best prepared for the coldest winters in living memory, which will be followed by a future climate similar to Newfoundland who are on the same latitude as us but does not have the advantage of the gulf stream?

This really does seem ironic after the pentagon report from 2003 into abrupt climate change titled imagining the unthinkable, they actually predicted that the gulf stream would stop in 2010 and was convinced that abrupt climate change was imminent, they also perceived this as a threat to the UN national security due to refugees and starvation from other parts of the world that would freeze.  The video link is below so you can see this for yourself, go to 39mins and watch through to around 42mins.

As you know I favour correlation between sunspot activity and the ocean circulation and have published this in many of my posts, there is however a suggestion by Gianluigi Zangari from the Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate that the gulf stream may have been stopped from the BP oil spill

Although this may seem plausible there are to many if's but's and maybe's for my liking as a scientist in the above paper, the gulf stream has been clearly waining over recent years and this happening was inevitable as I have published many many times, I will therefore state that this has not been caused by the BP oil spill, but by the current inactive state of the sun and its effect on the ocean circulation as I have always stated for many years.  I feel this could be a propaganda stunt for when people want answers as to why we was not warned about this impending climate change sooner and was instead being spoon fed global warming junk.  It will be much easier for them to blame it on an oil disaster than actually admit they got it very wrong.

Global warming did exist and that helped melt the glaciers to make the gulf stream unstable during a healthy period of sunspot activity up until 1997, the current low sunspot activity at present is so unusual that it has all the top scientists in a panic including myself due to it's dormant state, it is this that has tipped the gulf stream over the edge and past it's threshold of no immediate return.